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It is the high ratio of short-term standard deviation to expected loss that fools gamblers into thinking that they can win. As the number of rounds increases, eventually, the expected loss will exceed the standard deviation, many times over. Many casino games, particularly slot machines, have extremely high standard deviations. The standard deviation for pai gow poker is the lowest out of all common casino games.
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As you can see, standard deviation is many times the magnitude of the expected loss. The standard deviation of a simple game like roulette can be calculated using the binomial distribution. In games where players are not competing against the house, such as poker, the casino usually earns money via a commission, known as a “rake”. The calculation of the roulette house edge is a trivial exercise; for other games, this is not usually the case. The house edge of casino games varies greatly with the game, with some games having an edge as low as 0.3%. The chances of a player, who bets 1 unit on red, winning are 18/38 and his chances of losing 1 unit are 20/38.
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